Meditations and Learnings

Meditations and Learnings

Behind Every Assertion is a Counterfactual

Burning money makes you poorer (if you don’t rip it up instead). Eating broccoli makes you healthier (if it replaces the equivalent calories of candy floss). Single motherhood causes poverty (if that same woman went on to never have children and work full-time).

Be aware of the counterfactual behind the claim. Sometimes it is intuitive, but other times it is just as likely as another alternative outcome.