Meditations and Learnings

Meditations and Learnings

The Decline in Renewable Energy Costs



The decline in the cost of solar, wind, and batteries all follow the learning curve, or what is sometimes called Wright’s law. Theodore “T.P.” Wright was a World War II economist who studied the production of aeroplanes and found that every doubling of manufacturing of the same model aeroplane brought down the price by a fixed percentage of 16%.
Every doubling of scale of the manufacture of solar has brought down the price by an average of 30%. A small part of this is the improvement of panels, but this steady decrease in costs is mostly because the manufacturing process gets better. Despite criticisms of the solar industry’s small 1% reinvestment of revenue in R&D, it isn’t the R&D budget that’s bringing the price down, it’s actually factory efficiencies.