Meditations and Learnings

Meditations and Learnings

Prospect Theory - Reference Dependence

Any decision involving risk and uncertainty is subject to reference dependence. This describes the propensity to evaluate the outcomes of any such decision relative to a reference point. If one was coming from a position of taking seriously a possible loss of $10000, if this became a new reference point, that person would view a possible loss of $100 as a lot less risky than if that same person had maintained a hypothetical lower reference point.